Jun 23

From  Robertie, Modern Backgammon,  05-11

Der Spielstand (nach 0 Partie) ist: gnubg 0, ace 0

Zug Nr. 26:ace muss 65 spielen


+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|  ' 1X 2O 3X 3X 2X |   | 2O 2X  '  '  '  ' |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   | 1 |        6 5        |
|  '  '  ' 2O 3O 4O |   | 2X 2O  '  '  ' 2X |
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pipcounts: gnubg 119, ace 143
Position ID: cjeDwQDYPQMwDA Match ID: cAkXAGAAMAAA

• ace zieht 8/2 6/1

Achtung: Zug schlecht ( -0,095)

# Ply Zug Gewinnerwartung
  1 2 8/3 8/2 -0,550
  0,351 0,084 0,001 – 0,649 0,148 0,006  
  2 2 22/11 -0,566 ( -0,017)
  0,366 0,107 0,002 – 0,634 0,239 0,010  
3 2 8/2 6/1 -0,645 ( -0,095)
  0,329 0,080 0,001 – 0,671 0,156 0,005  
  4 0 22/16 6/1 -0,743 ( -0,193)
  0,350 0,111 0,002 – 0,650 0,287 0,016  
  5 0 18/13 8/2 -0,952 ( -0,403)
  0,306 0,089 0,001 – 0,694 0,262 0,020  

 

Rolled 65 (-0.087):
     1. Rollout          22/11                        Eq.:  -0.531
       0.348 0.094 0.003 – 0.652 0.246 0.009 CL  -0.445 CF  -0.531
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 CL   0.003 CF   0.007]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 2939214018 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
     2. Rollout          8/3 8/2                      Eq.:  -0.577 ( -0.046)
       0.339 0.073 0.002 – 0.661 0.181 0.007 CL  -0.414 CF  -0.577
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 CL   0.004 CF   0.008]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 2939214018 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
*    3. Rollout          8/2 6/1                      Eq.:  -0.650 ( -0.120)
       0.319 0.069 0.002 – 0.681 0.175 0.006 CL  -0.452 CF  -0.650
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.003 0.001 CL   0.004 CF   0.009]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 2939214018 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
     4. Cubeful 0-ply    22/16 6/1                    Eq.:  -0.522 ( +0.009)
       0.350 0.111 0.002 – 0.650 0.287 0.016
     5. Cubeful 0-ply    22/16 8/3                    Eq.:  -0.656 ( -0.125)
       0.327 0.113 0.002 – 0.673 0.352 0.032

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