Mai 24

Player on roll is 4 pips behind 

In this section we take a look at positions where the player on roll is behind 4 pips. Listed are positions from 10-6, 11-7, 12-8, 13-9, 14-10 and 15-11 pips.

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  '  ' 1X 1X 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 |  '  ' 2O  ' 1O  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 6, ace 10
Position ID: FQAAIAMAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.553  
  0.776 0.000 0.000 – 0.224 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000  
2. Double, take +1.085 +0.085
3. No double +0.663 -0.337
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass

 


 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  '  ' 1X 2X  ' |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 |  ' 2O  '  '  ' 1O |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 11
Position ID: FgAAEAYAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.305  
  0.652 0.000 0.000 – 0.348 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.496  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.504
3. No double +0.372 -0.124
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  '  ' 2X  ' 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 |  ' 1O 1O  ' 1O  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 11
Position ID: GQAAIAUAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.505  
  0.753 0.000 0.000 – 0.247 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.975  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.025
3. No double +0.621 -0.354
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

 


 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  ' 1X 1X  ' 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 | 1O  ' 1O  ' 1O  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 12
Position ID: KQAAIAkAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.373  
  0.686 0.000 0.000 – 0.314 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.615  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.385
3. No double +0.496 -0.119
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  '  ' 2X 1X  ' |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 |  ' 2O  '  ' 1O  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 12
Position ID: GgAAIAYAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.252  
  0.626 0.000 0.000 – 0.374 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.367  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.633
3. Double, take +0.356 -0.011
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (1.7%)

 


 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  ' 1X  ' 1X  ' 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 | 1O  ' 1O 1O  '  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 13
Position ID: SQAAQAkAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.239  
  0.620 0.000 0.000 – 0.380 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.333  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.667
3. Double, take +0.246 -0.087
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (11.5%)

 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  ' 2X  '  ' 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 | 1O  ' 1O 1O  '  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 13
Position ID: MQAAQAkAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.305  
  0.652 0.000 0.000 – 0.348 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.450  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.550
3. No double +0.402 -0.049
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

 


 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  '  ' 2X  ' 1X  ' |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 | 1O 1O  ' 1O  '  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 10, ace 14
Position ID: MgAAQAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.174  
  0.587 0.000 0.000 – 0.413 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.266  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.734
3. Double, take +0.102 -0.164
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (18.2%)

 


 


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' |   |  ' 2X  '  '  ' 1X |
|                   |   |                   |
|                   |   |                   |
|  '  '  '  '  '  ' | 2 | 1O 1O 1O  '  '  ' |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: gnubg 11, ace 15
Position ID: YQAAgAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• ace doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.179  
  0.590 0.000 0.000 – 0.410 0.000 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.280  
2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.720
3. Double, take +0.222 -0.058
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (7.4%)

 

Some conclusions:

  • It looks like all positions with 10 or less pips at the rollers side are a redouble/pass.
  • All positions with 11-7 pips are a redouble/take.
  • With a pipcount of 12-8 I found only one position (552-332) which is no double/take. All others are a redouble/take.
  • Most positions with a pipcount of 13-9 are a no double/take. Only 643-441 and 643-333 are a redouble/take  because of the opponents bd (bad distribution).
  • Most positions with a pipcount of 14-10 are a no double/take. If the opponent has a gd (good checker distribution, i.e. 631) it’s yet a no double/beaver.  
  • Nearly all positions with 15-11 pips are a no double/beaver. Only 654-551 (bd for opponent!) is a no double take.

Leave a Reply

*

preload preload preload