Player on roll is 3 pips behind
In this section we take a look at positions where the player on roll is behind 3 pips. This is probably the most difficult chapter. I took two positions for a rollers pipcount of 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15 each.
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Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 10
Position ID: JQAAwAIAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.529 | ||
| 0.765 0.000 0.000 – 0.235 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, pass | +1.000 | |
| 2. | Double, take | +1.037 | +0.037 |
| 3. | No double | +0.639 | -0.361 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, pass | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 10
Position ID: JQAAYAgAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.423 | ||
| 0.712 0.000 0.000 – 0.288 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.791 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.209 |
| 3. | No double | +0.520 | -0.271 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 11
Position ID: KQAAEAYAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.349 | ||
| 0.675 0.000 0.000 – 0.325 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.576 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.424 |
| 3. | No double | +0.417 | -0.159 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 11
Position ID: GgAAIAUAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.514 | ||
| 0.757 0.000 0.000 – 0.243 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.986 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.014 |
| 3. | No double | +0.625 | -0.360 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 12
Position ID: HAAAQAUAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.424 | ||
| 0.712 0.000 0.000 – 0.288 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.759 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.241 |
| 3. | No double | +0.527 | -0.231 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 12
Position ID: KgAAgAMAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.214 | ||
| 0.607 0.000 0.000 – 0.393 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.325 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.675 |
| 3. | Double, take | +0.245 | -0.080 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (10.6%) | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 10, ace 13
Position ID: MgAAQAkAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.317 | ||
| 0.659 0.000 0.000 – 0.341 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.473 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.527 |
| 3. | No double | +0.416 | -0.057 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 10, ace 13
Position ID: SgAAEAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.022 | ||
| 0.511 0.000 0.000 – 0.489 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.080 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.920 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0.345 | -0.425 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, beaver (31.6%) | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 11, ace 14
Position ID: YQAAQAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.314 | ||
| 0.657 0.000 0.000 – 0.343 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.552 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.448 |
| 3. | No double | +0.431 | -0.121 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 11, ace 14
Position ID: igAAIAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.032 | ||
| 0.516 0.000 0.000 – 0.484 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.127 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.873 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0.256 | -0.382 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, beaver (30.5%) | ||
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Pip counts: gnubg 12, ace 15
Position ID: YgAAgAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.236 | ||
| 0.618 0.000 0.000 – 0.382 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.340 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.660 |
| 3. | Double, take | +0.320 | -0.020 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (2.9%) | ||
The position above is nonetheless an initial double.
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Pip counts: gnubg 12, ace 15
Position ID: VAAAQAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.051 | ||
| 0.526 0.000 0.000 – 0.474 0.000 0.000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.141 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.859 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0.154 | -0.296 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, beaver (25.6%) | ||
Some conclusions:
- 9 vs 6 pips is always a redouble/pass.
- 10 vs 7 is usually a redouble/pass. Only if roller has a bd and his opponent has at least ad then it turns to a redouble/take.
- 11 vs 8 is always a redouble/take.
- 12 vs 9 is usually a redouble/take. Only if the roller has a bd and his opponent has at least a ad then it turns to a nodouble/take.
- 13-10 covers everything in the range of redouble/take (gd vs ad) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 14-11 covers everything in the range of redouble/take (gd vs ad) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 15-12 covers everything in the range of initial double/take (gd vs. bd) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 16-13 is always a no double.




























