Player on roll is 3 pips behind
In this section we take a look at positions where the player on roll is behind 3 pips. This is probably the most difficult chapter. I took two positions for a rollers pipcount of 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15 each.
Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 10
Position ID: JQAAwAIAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.529 |
|
| |
0.765 0.000 0.000 – 0.235 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
|
| 2. |
Double, take |
+1.037 |
+0.037 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.639 |
-0.361 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, pass |
Pip counts: gnubg 7, ace 10
Position ID: JQAAYAgAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.423 |
|
| |
0.712 0.000 0.000 – 0.288 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.791 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.209 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.520 |
-0.271 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 11
Position ID: KQAAEAYAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.349 |
|
| |
0.675 0.000 0.000 – 0.325 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.576 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.424 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.417 |
-0.159 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 8, ace 11
Position ID: GgAAIAUAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.514 |
|
| |
0.757 0.000 0.000 – 0.243 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.986 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.014 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.625 |
-0.360 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 12
Position ID: HAAAQAUAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.424 |
|
| |
0.712 0.000 0.000 – 0.288 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.759 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.241 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.527 |
-0.231 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 9, ace 12
Position ID: KgAAgAMAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.214 |
|
| |
0.607 0.000 0.000 – 0.393 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
No double |
+0.325 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.675 |
| 3. |
Double, take |
+0.245 |
-0.080 |
| Proper cube action: |
No redouble, take (10.6%) |
Pip counts: gnubg 10, ace 13
Position ID: MgAAQAkAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.317 |
|
| |
0.659 0.000 0.000 – 0.341 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.473 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.527 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.416 |
-0.057 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 10, ace 13
Position ID: SgAAEAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.022 |
|
| |
0.511 0.000 0.000 – 0.489 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
No double |
+0.080 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.920 |
| 3. |
Double, take |
-0.345 |
-0.425 |
| Proper cube action: |
No redouble, beaver (31.6%) |
Pip counts: gnubg 11, ace 14
Position ID: YQAAQAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.314 |
|
| |
0.657 0.000 0.000 – 0.343 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
Double, take |
+0.552 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.448 |
| 3. |
No double |
+0.431 |
-0.121 |
| Proper cube action: |
Redouble, take |
Pip counts: gnubg 11, ace 14
Position ID: igAAIAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.032 |
|
| |
0.516 0.000 0.000 – 0.484 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
No double |
+0.127 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.873 |
| 3. |
Double, take |
-0.256 |
-0.382 |
| Proper cube action: |
No redouble, beaver (30.5%) |
Pip counts: gnubg 12, ace 15
Position ID: YgAAgAoAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.236 |
|
| |
0.618 0.000 0.000 – 0.382 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
No double |
+0.340 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.660 |
| 3. |
Double, take |
+0.320 |
-0.020 |
| Proper cube action: |
No redouble, take (2.9%) |
The position above is nonetheless an initial double.
Pip counts: gnubg 12, ace 15
Position ID: VAAAQAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• ace doubles
| 2-ply cubeless equity |
+0.051 |
|
| |
0.526 0.000 0.000 – 0.474 0.000 0.000 |
| Cubeful equities: |
| 1. |
No double |
+0.141 |
|
| 2. |
Double, pass |
+1.000 |
+0.859 |
| 3. |
Double, take |
-0.154 |
-0.296 |
| Proper cube action: |
No redouble, beaver (25.6%) |
Some conclusions:
- 9 vs 6 pips is always a redouble/pass.
- 10 vs 7 is usually a redouble/pass. Only if roller has a bd and his opponent has at least ad then it turns to a redouble/take.
- 11 vs 8 is always a redouble/take.
- 12 vs 9 is usually a redouble/take. Only if the roller has a bd and his opponent has at least a ad then it turns to a nodouble/take.
- 13-10 covers everything in the range of redouble/take (gd vs ad) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 14-11 covers everything in the range of redouble/take (gd vs ad) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 15-12 covers everything in the range of initial double/take (gd vs. bd) to no double/beaver (bd vs gd).
- 16-13 is always a no double.